CPC Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks
NOAA / National Weather Service / National Centers for Environmental Prediction / Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) produces temperature and precipitation outlooks for the U.S., including 6–10 day, 8-14 day, 1-month, and seasonal (3-month) outlooks.
Using the climatology period 1991–2020, the 6–10 day and 8–14 day outlooks depict whether the probability (percent chance) of above-normal, below-normal, or near-normal conditions during the noted time frame. The monthly and seasonal outlooks depict the probability (percent chance) of above-or below-normal conditions.
The colored shading on the map indicates the degree of confidence the forecaster has in the category indicated. The darker the shading, the greater is the level of confidence. For temperature outlooks, blue hues indicate "below-normal" and orange-red hues indicate "above normal." For precipitation outlooks, brown hues indicate "below-normal" and green hues indicate "above normal."
This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal precipitation 8 to 14 days in the future.
This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal (green hues) or below-normal (brown hues) precipitation over the next calendar month. White areas indicates equal chances of above- or below-normal precipitation.
This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal temperature 8 to 14 days in the future.
This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal (red hues) or below-normal (blue hues) temperatures over the next calendar month. White areas indicates equal chances of above- or below-normal temperatures.
Probability (Percent Chance) of Below-Normal Precipitation
>90% Chance of Below Normal
There is a >90% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
80%–90% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 80%–90% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
70%–80% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 70%–80% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
60%–70% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 60%–70% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
50%–60% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 50%–60% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
40%–50% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 40%–50% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
33%–40% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 33%–40% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
Probability (Percent Chance) of Above-Normal Precipitation
33%–40% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 33%–40% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
40%–50% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 40%–50% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
50%–60% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 50%–60% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
60%–70% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 60%–70% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
70%–80% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 70%–80% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
80%–90% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 80%–90% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
>90% Chance of Above Normal
There is a >90% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
Near-Normal
Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period.
Probability (Percent Chance) of Below-Normal Precipitation
>90% Chance of Below Normal
There is a >90% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
80%–90% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 80%–90% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
70%–80% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 70%–80% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
60%–70% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 60%–70% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
50%–60% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 50%–60% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
40%–50% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 40%–50% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
33%–40% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 33%–40% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.
Probability (Percent Chance) of Above-Normal Precipitation
33%–40% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 33%–40% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
40%–50% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 40%–50% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
50%–60% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 50%–60% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
60%–70% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 60%–70% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
70%–80% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 70%–80% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
80%–90% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 80%–90% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
>90% Chance of Above Normal
There is a >90% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.
Probability (Percent Chance) of Below-Normal Temperature
>90% Chance of Below Normal
There is a >90% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
80%–90% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 80%–90% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
70%–80% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 70%–80% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
60%–70% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 60%–70% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
50%–60% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 50%–60% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
40%–50% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 40%–50% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
33%–40% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 33%–40% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
Probability (Percent Chance) of Above-Normal Temperature
33%–40% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 33%–40% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
40%–50% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 40%–50% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
50%–60% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 50%–60% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
60%–70% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 60%–70% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
70%–80% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 70%–80% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
80%–90% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 80%–90% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
>90% Chance of Above Normal
There is a >90% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
Near-Normal
Odds favor near-normal temperatures during this period.
Probability (Percent Chance) of Below-Normal Temperature
>90% Chance of Below Normal
There is a >90% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
80%–90% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 80%–90% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
70%–80% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 70%–80% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
60%–70% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 60%–70% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
50%–60% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 50%–60% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
40%–50% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 40%–50% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
33%–40% Chance of Below Normal
There is an 33%–40% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.
Probability (Percent Chance) of Above-Normal Temperature
33%–40% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 33%–40% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
40%–50% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 40%–50% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
50%–60% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 50%–60% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
60%–70% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 60%–70% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
70%–80% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 70%–80% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
80%–90% Chance of Above Normal
There is an 80%–90% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
>90% Chance of Above Normal
There is a >90% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.
This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal precipitation 8 to 14 days in the future.
This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal (green hues) or below-normal (brown hues) precipitation over the next calendar month. White areas indicates equal chances of above- or below-normal precipitation.
This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal temperature 8 to 14 days in the future.
This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal (red hues) or below-normal (blue hues) temperatures over the next calendar month. White areas indicates equal chances of above- or below-normal temperatures.
The Climate Prediction Center updates their 8–14 day outlooks daily.
The Climate Prediction Center updates their monthly precipitation outlook on the last day of each calendar month.
The Climate Prediction Center updates their 8–14 day outlooks daily.
The Climate Prediction Center updates their monthly temperature outlook on the last day of each calendar month.
How To
How to use this site:
- Select a timeframe to view a temperature or precipitation outlook: 6–10 days, 8–14 days, 3–4 weeks, 1 month, or 3 months.
- Move the cursor over product parameter name to display the graphic (click to enlarge).
- Click on a product parameter to view the most current map enlarged on a new page.
- Or, click "interactive" next to the product parameter to view an interactive map.
- To learn more about these outlook products, visit the Outlooks Maps, Graphs, and Tables page.
- Download KMZ/KML files and shapefiles on the GIS Data page.
Access
Climate Predication Center Home Page: View temperature, precipitation, hazards, and drought outlooks for the United States
- 6-10 day temperature and precipitation outlooks
- 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlooks
- 3-4 week temperature and precipitation outlooks
- 1-month temperature and precipitation outlooks
- 3-month temperature and precipitation outlooks
GIS Data – Download the outlooks as shapefiles and raster data.
6–10 and 8–14 Day Outlook Archive – View past 6–10 and 8–14 day outlooks from December 2001 to the present.
Monthly and Seasonal Outlook Archive –View past monthly and seasonal outlooks from October 1995 to the present.
Outlook Verification – View forecast verification for CPC's outlook products. Verification indicates the skill of outlooks, which is a relative measure of how the outlooks performed. Knowledge of the skill of the outlooks can help users for decision making purposes.
